December 11, 2020

Limitless: Upgrade Your Brain, Learn Anything Faster, and Unlock Your Exceptional Life by Jim Kwik


Limitless: Upgrade Your Brain, Learn Anything Faster, and Unlock Your Exceptional Life by Jim Kwik 


Jim indicts the four growing villains that are challenging our capacity to think, focus, learn, grow, and be fully human.


  1. The first is digital deluge—the unending flood of information in a world of finite time and unfair expectations that leads to overwhelm, anxiety, and sleeplessness.


  1. The second villain is digital distraction. The fleeting ping of digital dopamine pleasure replaces our ability to sustain the attention necessary for deep relationships, deep learning, or deep work.


  1. The next villain is digital dementia. Memory is a muscle that we have allowed to atrophy. Research on dementia proves that the greater our capacity to learn—the more mental brainercise we perform—the lower our risk of dementia. In many cases, we have outsourced our memory to our detriment.


The last brain-damaging villain is digital deduction. In a world where information is abundantly accessible, we’ve perhaps gone too far in how we use that information, even getting to the point where we are letting technology do much of our critical thinking and reasoning for us.


The cumulative effects of these four digital villains robs us of our focus, attention, learning, and, most importantly, our ability to truly think. It robs us of our mental clarity and results in brain fatigue, distraction, inability to easily learn, and unhappiness.


The key to living an exceptional life, as Jim states, is a process of unlimiting ourselves. And he has cracked the code for personal transformation with his Limitless Model. If our mindset is not aligned with our desires or goals, we will never achieve them. It’s critical to identify your limiting beliefs, stories, and deeply held beliefs, attitudes, and assumptions about yourself and what’s possible. Examining, excavating, and expunging those beliefs is the first step to having a limitless mindset.


The second secret to a limitless life is your motivation. Jim outlines three key elements to motivation. 


  • First, your purpose. The reason why matters.


  • The second key is the ability to do what you want. This requires energy, and energy requires something called energy management.The science of human performance is critical to achieving your purpose—eating whole unprocessed food, exercise, stress management, quality sleep, and skills at communication and building healthy relationships (and eliminating toxic ones).


  • Limitless teaches us the five key methods to achieve whatever we want: Focus, Study, Memory Enhancement, Speed Reading, and Critical Thinking. 


If an egg is broken by an outside force, the life ends. If broken by an inside force, life begins. Great things always begin from the inside - Jim Kwik.








THE LIMITLESS MODEL

  • A limit in your Mindset—you entertain a low belief in yourself, your capabilities, what you deserve, or what is possible.

  • A limit in your Motivation—you lack the drive, purpose, or energy to take action.

  • A limit in your Methods—you were taught and are acting on a process that is not effective to create the results you desire.



  • Mindset (the WHAT): deeply held beliefs, attitudes, and assumptions we create about who we are, how the world works, what we are capable of and deserve, and what is possible.

  • Motivation (the WHY): the purpose one has for taking action. The energy required for someone to behave in a particular way.

  • Method (the HOW): a specific process for accomplishing something, especially an orderly, logical, or systematic way of instruction.


Psychologist Jim Taylor defines thinking as, The capacity to reflect, reason, and draw conclusions based on our experiences, knowledge, and insights. It’s what makes us human and has enabled us to communicate, create, build, advance, and become civilized.


Give a person an idea, and you enrich their day. Teach a person how to learn, and they can enrich their entire life. As per Sir Ken Robinson, only very schools anywhere in the world have incorporated learning how to learn into their curriculum. Most schools won't get underneath all of this to teach us how to teach ourselves, to make enriching our minds, discovering new concepts, and truly absorbing what we learn fundamental to our everyday lives.


The only way to win is to learn faster than anyone else - Eric Ries.


Pomodoro technique, a productivity method developed by Francesco Cirillo based on the idea that the optimal time for a task is 25 minutes, followed by a 5-minute break


There are three things you want to forget (at least temporarily). 

  • The first is what you already know. One of the reasons children learn rapidly is because they are empty vessels. what Zen philosophy calls a beginner’s mind. 

  • The second thing is to forget what’s not urgent or important. 

  • And finally, forget about your limitations. 


https://jimkwik.com/kwik-brain-153-3-kwik-tips-for-brain-exercise/

https://www.limitlessbook.com/resources


The French philosopher Jean-Paul Sartre noted that, Life is C(choice) between B(birth) and D(death)


The one real object of education is to leave a person in the condition of continually asking questions - Bishop Mandell Creighton.


He who asks questions cannot avoid the answers - Cameroon proverb


In their book Mequilibrium, authors Jan Bruce, Dr. Andrew Shatté, and Dr. Adam Perlman call iceberg beliefs because of how many of them lie beneath the surface of our subconscious. Iceberg beliefs are deeply rooted and powerful, and they fuel our emotions, they say in the book. The more entrenched an iceberg is, the more havoc it wreaks on your life. . . creating your schedule chaos, getting in the way of successfully sticking to a diet, or holding you back from seizing opportunities.


Dr. Jennice Vilhauer, director of Emory University’s Adult Outpatient Psychotherapy Program, says:

  • the voice in your head that judges you, doubts you, belittles you, and constantly tells you that you are not good enough. It says negative hurtful things to you—things that you would never even dream of saying to anyone else. I am such an idiot; I am a phony; I never do anything right; I will never succeed.


  • the voice in your head that judges you, doubts you, belittles you, and constantly tells you that you are not good enough. It says negative hurtful things to you—things that you would never even dream of saying to anyone else. I am such an idiot; I am a phony; I never do anything right; I will never succeed.

 

  • the voice in your head that judges you, doubts you, belittles you, and constantly tells you that you are not good enough. It says negative hurtful things to you—things that you would never even dream of saying to anyone else. I am such an idiot; I am a phony; I never do anything right; I will never succeed.


There are multiple forms of genius

  • Dynamo genius: Those who express their genius through creativity and ideas. Shakespeare was a dynamo genius 

  • Blaze genius: Those whose genius becomes clear through their interaction with others. Oprah Winfrey is a blaze genius

  • Tempo genius: Those whose genius expresses itself through their ability to see the big picture and stay the course. Nelson Mandela was a tempo genius

  • Steel genius: Those who are brilliant at sweating the small stuff and doing something with the details that others missed or couldn’t envision. (Sergey Brin, Billy Beane are such geniuses)


REFRAMING LIMITING BELIEFS

Key 1: Name Your Limiting Beliefs

Key 2: Get to the Facts

Key 3: Create a New Belief


THE POSSIBILITIES BECOME LIMITLESS


Dr. Barbara Fredrickson's, a positive psychology researcher at the University of North Carolina,  broaden and build theory because positive emotions broaden your sense of possibilities and open your mind, which in turn allows you to build new skills and resources that can provide value in other areas of your life.


The theory, together with the research reviewed here, suggests that positive emotions: (i) broaden people’s attention and thinking; (ii) undo lingering negative emotional arousal; (iii) fuel psychological resilience; (iv) build consequential personal resources; (v) trigger upward spirals towards greater well-being in the future; and (vi) seed human flourishing. The theory also carries an important prescriptive message. People should cultivate positive emotions in their own lives and in the lives of those around them, not just because doing so makes them feel good in the moment, but also because doing so transforms people for the better and sets them on paths toward flourishing and healthy longevity.


THE 7 LIES OF LEARNING


  • LIE NO. 1: INTELLIGENCE IS FIXED

Here’s the truth: It’s not how smart you are; it’s how you are smart. There are multiple types of intelligence (more on this later). Like so many things, intelligence is a combination of attitudes and actions, and is dependent on context.

New belief: Intelligence is fluid.



  • LIE NO. 2: WE ONLY USE 10 PERCENT OF OUR BRAINS

  • LIE NO. 3: MISTAKES ARE FAILURES

  • LIE NO. 4: KNOWLEDGE IS POWER

Here’s the truth: Knowledge is not power. It only has the potential to be power. You can read this book and learn everything in it, but if you don’t take it and apply the knowledge, it will be useless. 

  • LIE NO. 5: LEARNING NEW THINGS IS VERY DIFFICULT

  • LIE NO. 6: THE CRITICISM OF OTHER PEOPLE MATTERS

Don’t take criticism from someone you wouldn’t take advice from. People will doubt you and criticize you no matter what you do. You will never know your true potential until you break the unfair judgements 

  • LIE NO. 7: GENIUS IS BORN

New belief: Genius is not born; it’s made through deep practice.


Energy

Here are my 10 recommendations for generating limitless brain energy.

1. A GOOD BRAIN DIET

  • THE TOP 10 BRAIN FOODS

  • Avocados

  • Blueberries

  • Broccoli

  • Dark Chocolate

  • Eggs

  • Green leafy vegetables

  • Salmon, Sardines, Caviar

  • Turmeric

  • Walnuts

  • Water


2. BRAIN NUTRIENTS

Max Lugavere, author of Genius Foods, we discussed the benefits of supplementing with phospholipid DHA—your brain uses this to create healthy cell membranes


3. EXERCISE

4. KILLING ANTS (automatic negative thoughts)

5. A CLEAN ENVIRONMENT

6. A POSITIVE PEER GROUP

7. BRAIN PROTECTION

8. NEW LEARNING

9. STRESS MANAGEMENT

10. SLEEP



Motivation

Dr. B. J. Fogg created the Fogg Behavior Model to identify the circumstances that need to be present for behavior change to occur. For a target behavior to happen, he notes, a person must have sufficient motivation, sufficient ability, and an effective prompt. All three factors must be present at the same instant for the behavior to occur.


Fogg identifies three key motivators:


1. Pleasure/pain

2. Hope/fear

3. Social acceptance/rejection


Fogg notes. For example, in some situations, people will accept pain (a flu shot) in order to overcome fear (anticipation of getting the flu).


Fogg equates ability with simplicity, noting that when something is simple for us, we are considerably more likely to do it. He defines six categories of simplicity:


  • Time: We only perceive something to be simple if we have the time available to perform the function.

  • Money: Similarly, if something stretches our financial resources, we do not consider it simple.

  • Physical effort: We consider things that are physically easy for us to be simple.

  • Brain cycles: Simple things don’t tax our thinking, and we shy away from things that require us to think too hard.

  • Social deviance: This goes back to the acceptance motivation. A simple act fits into societal norms.

  • Nonroutine: How far something is out of one’s normal routine will define its level of simplicity.


Prompts

Finally, Fogg notes three types of prompts:


  1. Spark - A spark is a type of prompt that immediately leads to a form of motivation. 

  2. Facilitator: This type of prompt works when motivation is high, but ability is low. For example, if you want to use a certain kind of software on your computer but are tech-averse, a tool that makes that software easier for you to use is likely to cause you to adopt this behavior.

  3. Signal: In some cases, you’ll have both high motivation and high ability. 


CREATING A NEW HABIT


W is for want

I is for innate

N is for now. 


Flow

Mihaly Csikszentmihalyi describes flow as the state in which people are so involved in an activity that nothing else seems to matter; the experience itself is so enjoyable that people will do it even at great cost, for the sheer sake of doing it. To Csikszentmihalyi, flow is an expression of optimal experience.


Dr. Csikszentmihalyi describes flow as having eight characteristics:

  1. Absolute concentration

  2. Total focus on goals

  3. The sense that time is either speeding up or slowing down

  4. A feeling of reward from the experience

  5. A sense of effortlessness

  6. The experience is challenging, but not overly so

  7. Your actions almost seem to be happening on their own

  8. You feel comfort with what you are doing


THE FOUR STAGES OF FLOW

  • Stage 1: Struggle

  • Stage 2: Relaxation'

  • Stage 3: Flow

  • Stage 4: Consolidation


Finding flow

  • Eliminate distractions

  • Give yourself enough time

  • Do something you love

  • Have clear goals

  • Challenge yourself .. Little



Enemies of flow:

  • Multitasking

  • Stress

  • Fear of failure

  • Lack of conviction


Calming your busty mind:

  • Breath

  • Do something that has been causing you stress

  • Schedule time for distractions


Four levels of competence

Since the sixties, psychologists have noted that there are four levels of competence or learning. 

  1. The first, known as unconscious incompetence, is when you don’t know what you don’t know. 


  1. In the next level, known as conscious incompetence, you’re aware of what you don’t know.

  2. The third level is conscious competence. What this means is that you’re aware of askill and have the capacity to perform that skill, but only when you actively put your mind to it. You can do it, but it takes work.


  1. The fourth level—the one any lifelong learner is seeking—is unconscious competence. In this case, you know how to perform a skill, and it’s second nature to you. 


  • Habit 1: Employ Active Recall

  • Habit 2: Employ Spaced Repetition

  • Habit 3: Manage the State You’re In - Your posture also controls the state of your mind. Sit as if you’re about to learn the most crucial life-changing information. 

  • Habit 4: Use Your Sense of Smell - The scent of rosemary has been shown to improve memory. Peppermint and lemon promotes concentration.

  • Habit 5: Music for the Mind

  • Habit 6: Listen with Your Whole Brain

  • Habit 7: Take Note of Taking Notes


Memory improvement

  • Learning passively is weak; active learning is strong.

  • Visualization - Thinking is done through the use of pictures.

  • Association - In order to learn any new piece of information, it must be associated with something you already know.

  • Emotion

  • Adding emotion makes something memorable

  • Location - If you can associate something with a place, you’re more likely to remember it.


HOW READING MAKES YOUR BRAIN LIMITLESS

  • Reading kicks your brain into gear.

  • Reading improves your focus. 

  • Reading improves your vocabulary

  • Reading improves your imagination.

  • Reading improves understanding.


THE THINKING HATS

Dr. Edward de Bono devised the concept of the six thinking hats as a tool for getting out of whatever rut of thinking one might be mired in


  • White hat: Here, your focus is on collecting details and getting all the facts you’ll need to address whatever issue you’re trying to address


  • Yellow hat: Here, you’re trying to identify the positives in any problem or challenge you’re facing, highlighting the value inherently in place. 


  • Black hat: to pivot from looking at the good side of the challenge to facing its difficulties and pitfalls


  • Red hat: This is the point where you can let your feelings about the problem come to the surface, and maybe even express fears.

  • Green hat: You’ve looked at the problem analytically and you’ve looked at it emotionally. Now ask yourself, what new ideas can you bring to what you already know about the problem?


  • Blue hat: to be in management mode, and make sure you’ve addressed your agenda productively and gone through the process in a way that benefits from all the other hats you’ve worn.



HOW ARE YOU SMART?

Dr. Howard Gardner, professor of cognition and education at the Harvard Graduate School of Education, has studied intelligence extensively and has identified eight distinct forms of intelligence


There are three learning styles: visual, auditory & kinesthetic.


MENTAL MODELS


  1. Decision-Making: The 40/70 Rule

According to Colin Powell, anything less than 40 percent and you’re just guessing. Anything more than 70 percent and you’re stalling over making the decision.


  1. Productivity: Create a Not-to-Do List

  1. First, write down tasks that might be important but can’t be done because of outside circumstances.

  2. Next, include tasks that you think need to be done but that don’t add value to your life;

  3. Then include current and ongoing tasks that don’t benefit from additional attention.

  4. Last, include urgent tasks that are often to-do lists given to us by other people, such as getting some background research on a project or making follow-up calls. These are tasks that might be necessary to do but perhaps don’t need to be done by you


  1. Problem-Solving: Study Your Errors

    • Ask yourself why those mistakes happened

    • Then ask how you can best avoid the same mistakes in the future. (Some of them are in your control and some are not)

    • Finally, using what you’ve gleaned from this exercise, determine how you can create the best conditions to support your desired outcomes in the future.

  2. Strategy: Second-Order Thinking

First-order thinking is easy, but it’s second-order thinking that allows us to go deeper through time and consequences. To use second-order thinking when considering future actions:

    • Always ask yourself, And then what?

    • Think in increments of time. What do the consequences look like in five days? Five months? Five years?

    • Draw out the possible courses of action you might take using columns to organize consequences.



  1. Thinking exponentially

In a piece for the Harvard Business Review, Mark Bonchek, founder and chief epiphany officer of Shift Thinking, describes the linear mindset as a line appearing on a graph that rises gradually over time.


  • Step 1: Get to the Underlying Problem

  • Step 2: Posit a New Approach

  • Step 3: Read about It

  • Step 4: Extrapolate


Here is a kwik list of some of my favorite mindset, motivation, and methods books. 

  • The Magic of Thinking Big by David J. Schwartz

  • Man’s Search for Meaning by Viktor Frankl

  • Understanding Understanding by Richard Saul Wurman

  • The Tapping Solution for Manifesting Your Greatest Self by Nick Ortner

  • Start With Why by Simon Sinek

  • The 7 Habits of Highly Effective People by Stephen R. Covey

  • Change Your Brain, Change Your Life by Dr. Daniel Amen

  • The Motivation Manifesto by Brendon Burchard

  • Tiny Habits by Dr. BJ Fogg

  • Brain Food by Lisa Mosconi

  • Me to We by Marc Kielburger & Craig Kielburger

  • The Promise of a Pencil by Adam Braun

  • Miracle Mindset by JJ Virgin

  • The TB12 Method by Tom Brady

  • Super Human by Dave Asprey

  • The Infinite Game by Simon Sinek

  • The Future Is Faster Than You Think by Steven Kotler & Peter Diamandis

  • The Code of the Extraordinary Mind by Vishen Lakhiani

  • The School of Greatness by Lewis Howes

  • Stress Less, Accomplish More by Emily Fletcher

  • The Power of When by Dr. Michael Breus

  • Becoming Super Woman by Nicole Lapin

  • Chineasy Everyday by Shaolan

  • #AskGaryVee by Gary Vaynerchuk

  • Becoming Supernatural by Dr. Joe Dispenza

  • Moonwalking with Einstein by Joshua Foer

  • The Brain that Changes Itself by Dr. Norman Doidge

  • Mindset by Carol Dweck

  • The Align Method by Aaron Alexander

  • Super Brain by Deepak Chopra and Rudolph Tanzi

  • Genius Foods by Max Lugavere

  • Sleep Smarter by Shawn Stevenson

  • The UltraMind Solution by Dr. Mark Hyman

  • Spark by Dr. John Ratey

  • The 4-Hour Chef by Tim Ferriss

  • Math Doesn’t Suck by Danica Mckellar

  • Boundless by Ben Greenfield

  • Six Thinking Hats by Edward de Bono

  • Thrive by Arianna Huffington

  • The Element by Sir Ken Robinson with Lou Aronica

  • TED Talks by Chris Anderson

  • Atomic Habits by James Clear

  • Imagine It Forward by Beth Comstock & Tahl Raz

  • Belong by Radha Agrawal

  • Disrupt-Her by Miki Agrawal

  • The Ripple Effect by Dr. Greg Wells

  • Exponential Transformation by Salim Ismail, Francisco Palao & Michelle Lapierre

  • Think Like a Monk by Jay Shetty

  • The Alter Ego Effect by Todd Herman

  • How to Live a Good Life by Jonathan Fields

  • The Mind Map Book by Barry Buzan & Tony Buzan

  • The Principles by Ray Dalio

  • Re-Create Your Life by Morty Lefkoe

  • Emotional First Aid by Dr. Guy Winch

  • A Higher Branch by Sam Makhoul

  • Cancer-Free with Food by Liana Werner-Gray

  • Food Can Fix It by Dr. Mehmet Oz



 

December 8, 2020

The Future Is Faster Than You Think By Peter H. Diamandis and Steven Kotler

 The Future Is Faster Than You Think By Peter H. Diamandis and Steven Kotler



Flying Cars

Today, the marginal cost of car ownership—that is, not the purchase price, but everything else that goes with a car (gas, repairs, insurance, parking, etc.)—is 59 cents per passenger mile. For its 2020 launch, according to Holden, Uber Air wants to reduce that per-mile price to $5.73, then rapidly drive it down to $1.84. But Uber’s long-term target is the game-changer—44 cents per mile—or cheaper than the cost of driving.


Why, in the late spring of 2018, are flying cars suddenly ready for prime time? What is it about this particular moment in history that has turned one of our oldest science fiction fantasies into our latest reality? The answer, in a word: Convergence.


In simple terms, we use our new computers to design even faster new computers, and this creates a positive feedback loop that further accelerates our acceleration—what Kurzweil calls the Law of Accelerating Returns.


The new news is that formerly independent waves of exponentially accelerating technology are beginning to converge with other independent waves of exponentially accelerating technology. For example, the speed of drug development is accelerating, not only because biotechnology is progressing at an exponential rate, but because artificial intelligence, quantum computing, and a couple other exponentials are converging on the field. In other words, these waves are starting to overlap, stacking atop one another, producing tsunami-sized behemoths that threaten to wash away most everything in their path.


To answer that, let’s examine the three basic requirements any Uber eVTOL will have to meet: safety, noise, and price. Today, even Helicopters don't meet any of these requirements.


Since 2009, Waymo’s vehicles have logged over 10 million miles. By 2020, with twenty thousand Jaguars doing hundreds of thousands of daily trips, they’ll be adding an extra million miles or so every day. All of those miles matter. As autonomous vehicles drive, they gather information: positions of traffic signs, road conditions, and the like. More information equals smarter algorithms equals safer cars—and this combination is the very edge needed for market domination.


Hyperloop

In 2013, in an attempt to shorten the long commute between Los Angeles and San Francisco, the California state legislature proposed a $68 billion budget allocation on what appeared to be the slowest and most expensive bullet train in history. Musk was outraged. The cost was too high, the train too sluggish. Teaming up with a group of engineers from Tesla and SpaceX, he published a fifty-eight-page concept paper for The Hyperloop, a high-speed transportation network that used magnetic levitation to propel passenger pods down vacuum tubes at speeds up to 760 mph. If successful, it would zip you across California in thirty-five minutes—or faster than commercial jets.


Musk saw overwhelm. He was irate enough to publish a whitepaper but way too busy to start another company. So Pishevar, with Musk’s blessing, decided to do so himself. A couple of years after that, the Virgin Group invested in the idea, Richard Branson was elected chairman, and Virgin Hyperloop One was born.


These convergences are why, in various stages of development, there are now ten major Hyperloop One projects spread across the globe. Chicago to DC in thirty-five minutes. Pune to Mumbai in twenty-five minutes. According to Giegel: Hyperloop is targeting certification in 2023. By 2025, the company plans to have multiple projects under construction and running initial passenger testing.


The Boring Company

On July 20, the anniversary of the Apollo moon landing, Musk tweeted: Just received verbal govt approval for The Boring Company to build an underground NY-Phil-Balt-DC Hyperloop. NY-DC in 29 mins. In the spring of 2018, with $113 million of Musk’s own money, the Boring Company began boring. They started construction on both ends of the line in DC and New York, while also starting on a 10.3-mile Maryland stretch that will eventually connect the two. 

Every time a technology goes exponential, we find an internet-sized opportunity tucked inside. Think about the internet itself. While it seemingly decimated industries—music, media, retail, travel, and taxis—a study by McKinsey Global Research found the net created 2.6 new jobs for each one is extinguished.


according to Yale’s Richard Foster, 40 percent of today’s Fortune 500 companies will be gone in ten years, replaced, for the most part, by upstarts we’ve not yet heard of.


Why are divorce rates so high? One reason is that marriage was created over four thousand years ago when we got hitched as teens and death came by forty. The institution was designed for a twenty-year maximum commitment. But thanks to advances in healthcare and lifespan, we’re now looking at a half-century of togetherness—which puts a whole new spin on  ’til death do us part.


In Part One, we’ll explore nine technologies currently on exponential growth curves, examining where they are today and where they’re going.


In Part Two, focusing on eight industries, we’ll see how converging technologies are reshaping our world.


In Part Three, we move to the bigger picture, looking at a series of environmental, economic, and existential risks that threaten the progress we’re about to make. 


Quantum computing


Unlike binary bits, which are an either/or scenario, qubits utilize superposition, which allows them to be in multiple states at once. Think of the two options of flipping a coin: heads or tails. Now think about a spinning coin—where both states flash by at once. That’s superposition, only it requires super-cold temperatures to achieve.


in 2013, when a physicist named Chad Rigetti decided that quantum computers were a lot closer to prime time than many suspected and that he wanted to be the one to push the technology over the finish line. So he left a comfortable job as a quantum researcher at IBM, raised over $119 million in funding, and built the coldest pipe in history. Over fifty patent applications later, Rigetti now manufactures integrated quantum circuits that power quantum computers in the cloud. And he’s right, this technology does solve one great problem: the end of Moore’s Law.


Kurzweil’s point is that every time an exponential technology reaches the end of its usefulness, another arises to take its place. And so it is with transistors. Right now, there are a half-dozen solutions to the end of Moore’s Law. Alternative uses of materials are being explored, such as replacing silicon circuits with carbon nanotubes for faster switching and better heat dissipation. Novel designs are also in the works, including three-dimensional integrated circuits, which geometrically increase the available surface area. There are also specialized chips that have limited functionality, but incredible speed. Apple’s recent A12 Bionic, for example, only runs AI applications but does so at a blistering nine trillion operations a second.


In 2002, Geordie Rose, the founder of an early quantum computer company D-Wave, came up with the quantum version of Moore’s Law, what’s now known as Rose’s Law. The idea is similar: The number of qubits in a quantum computer doubles every year.


Right now, if you go to the website for Rigetti Computing (www.rigetti.com), you can download Forest, their quantum developer’s kit. The kit provides a user-friendly interface to the quantum world. With it, almost anyone can write programs that can be run on Rigetti’s thirty-two-qubit computer. Over 120 million programs have been run


In BOLD, we introduced the Six Ds of Exponentials, or the growth cycle of exponential technologies: Digitalization, Deception, Disruption, Demonetization, Dematerialization, and Democratization. Each represents a crucial phase of development for an exponential technology, one that always leads to enormous upheaval and opportunity.


Emerging out of the cryptocurrency realm, ICOs are a new form of crowdfunding underpinned by blockchain technology. Startups can raise capital by creating and selling their own virtual currency—called either tokens or coins. These tokens give you ownership in the company (or, at least, voting power) and the promise of future profits, or can take the form of security, representing fractional ownership of a piece of real estate or the like. The number of ICOs per quarter has also ballooned, from roughly a dozen during the first quarter of 2017 to over a hundred by the last quarter of 2017, and there’s been even more activity since.


In 1913, Cambridge mathematician G. H. Hardy received an unusual letter in the mail. Dear Sir, it began, I beg to introduce myself as a clerk in the Accounts Department of the Port Trust Office at Madras on a salary of 20 pounds per annum. The letter went on to offer nine pages of mathematical ideas, including 120 different results in numbers theory, infinite series, continued if you are convinced there is anything of value I would like to have my theorems published.… It was signed by S. Ramanujan. Hardy showed the letter to a colleague, the mathematician John Littlewood, trying to figure out if it was a joke. It didn’t take long for them to figure out it wasn’t a joke. The philosopher Bertrand Russell ran into the duo the next day, finding them, as he later wrote, in a state of wild excitement because they believe they have found a second Newton, a Hindu clerk in Madras making 20 pounds a year.


Hardy brought Ramanujan to Cambridge. Five years later, he was elected to the Royal Society, making him both one of their youngest members in history and the first from India. Before dying four years later of tuberculosis, Ramanujan contributed over 3,900 formulae to math, including solutions to problems long considered unsolvable. Resoundingly, he’s considered one of history’s great minds, an unabashed genius


Consider the nine-dot problem, a classic test of creative problem-solving. Connect nine dots with four lines in ten minutes without lifting your pencil from the paper. Under normal circumstances, fewer than 5 percent of the population can pull this off. In a study run at the University of Sydney in Australia, none of their test subjects did. But then the researchers took a second group of subjects and used transcranial direct stimulation to artificially mimic many of the changes produced during flow. What happened? Forty percent solved the problem—a record result. The long-term approach takes a similar tack, using technology to improve cognitive function, only soon the technology will be permanently implanted in our brains. 


The rise of the coffeehouse in eighteenth-century Europe became a critical driver of the Enlightenment. These egalitarian establishments drew people from all walks of life, allowing novel notions to meet and mingle By becoming a hub for information sharing—a network—coffee shops were foundational in driving progress forward.


A business model is the systems and processes a company uses to generate value. The basic rules of the game for creating and capturing economic value were once fixed in place for years, even decades, as companies tried to execute the same business model better than competitors did, explains a 2015 article in the McKinsey Quarterly.

In the twentieth century, this added up to around one major business revolution per decade.


We can now see seven emerging models that could end up defining business over the next few decades. Each is a revolutionary new way of creating value; each is a force for acceleration.



  • The Crowd Economy (crowdfunding, ICO)

  • The Free/Data Economy (e.g. Facebook)

  • The Smartness Economy (e.g. cell phones became smartphones)

  • Closed-Loop Economies: (recycling )

  • Decentralized Autonomous Organizations (blockchain)

  • Multiple World Models (augmented reality, virtual reality)

  • Transformation Economy (experience economy e.g. Starbucks coffee vs normal coffee)


And for those of us on the outside of these disruptive models, our experience will be better, cheaper, faster. 


Author Jeremy Rifkin points out that all major economic paradigm shifts share a common denominator. At a moment in time, Rifkin told Business Insider, three defining technologies emerge and converge [emphasis ours] to create… an infrastructure that fundamentally changes the way we manage power and move economic activity across the value chain. And those three technologies are new communications technologies to more efficiently manage economic activity, new sources of energy to power the economic activity, and new modes of mobility… to more efficiently move the economic activity.


Three major shifts—call them who, what and where is underway. We’re seeing alterations in who is making content, what kind of content is being made, and where we’re experiencing that content. The combination of TV ad sales and box office revenue produce just shy of $300 billion a year. By hoarding a few scarce resources—tech, talent, financing, and distribution—a handful of Hollywood studios and TV networks have maintained a virtual stranglehold on those dollars.


In June of 2016, the extremely eerie short film Sunspring was released online, the end result of a neural net–powered AI being fed hundreds of sci-fi film scripts and allowed to take a crack at writing one of its own. Two months later, Twentieth Century Fox debuted the trailer for the upcoming thriller Morgan, also created with the help of an AI—this time, IBM’s Watson.


Facial expressions, hand gestures, eye gaze, vocal tone, head movement, speech frequency, and duration are all signals thick with emotional information. By coupling next-generation sensors with deep learning techniques, we can read these signals and employ them to analyze a user’s mood. And the basic technology is here

Lightwave, another emotional-computing startup, can capture not just the emotional state of an individual, but that of a whole crowd. It’s already been utilized by Cisco to judge a startup pitch competition, helped DJ Paul Oakenfold increase listener engagement at a concert in Singapore, and measured viewer reactions during a pre-screening of The Revenant.


But screens have an inherent limitation: place. Screens mean watching entertainment in a fixed location—your living room or your local movie theater. Certainly, we get mobility via our tablets and smartphones, but the trade-off is the size and, by extension, engagement.


What, exactly, is killing us? There are nine main reasons.


  1. Genomic Instability - DNA doesn’t always replicate according to plan; genetic instability leads to genetic damage leads to a limit on lifespan


  1. Telomere Attrition: as DNA replicates, telomeres get shorter. At a critical shortness threshold, the cell stops dividing, and we become much more susceptible to disease


  1. Epigenetic Alterations - Exposure to carcinogens in the environment can silence the gene that suppresses tumors


  1. Loss of Proteostasis - But proteins become less effective over time, so the body recycles them. Unfortunately, as we age, we can lose this ability


  1. Nutrient Sensing Goes Awry - For everything to work perfectly, cells need to be able to recognize and process each of forty different nutrients. But this ability breaks down as we get older.

 

  1. Mitochondrial Dysfunction - By converting oxygen and food into energy, they provide the basic fuel for our cells. But performance declines over time. 


  1. Cellular Senescence: As cells undergo stress, they occasionally become senescent, both losing their ability to divide and, simultaneously, becoming resistant to death


  1. Stem Cell Exhaustion: As we age, our supply of stem cells plummets, in certain cases by a ten thousandfold decline. 


  1. Altered Intercellular Communication - For the body to function properly, cells need to communicate. Over time, signals get crossed. Some cells become unresponsive, others become inflammation-producing zombie cells. This inflammation blocks further communication



Origins of Insurance - The bankers who frequented Lloyd’s Coffee House, were willing to collect premiums in exchange for taking shipping risks. They dubbed this process underwriting, as bankers would literally write their names on the blackboard under the name of the ship and a list of the trip’s details: its cargo, crew, weather, and destination. Today, some 320 years later, this idea of underwriting has grown into a multi-trillion-dollar insurance industry. 


Three major changes are underway. 

  • First, by shifting the risk from the consumer to the service provider, entire categories of insurance are being eliminated. 

  • Next, crowdsurance is replacing traditional categories of health and life insurance. 

  • Finally, the rise of networks, sensors, and AI are rewriting the ways in which insurance is priced and sold, remaking the very nature of the industry.  If you’re riding in an autonomous car as a service, and there is no driver, do you need insurance? Today, we insure the stuff we own. But autonomous cars shift us from car-as-property to car-as-service, removing the need for consumer-facing auto insurance altogether.



Insurance is a game of averages. The industry’s basic business model is to assess risk and set premiums—or, covering this much risk will cost this much money. With a large enough number of customers and long enough stretches of time, this averages out to a profit for the underwriter.


In both health and life insurance, the premiums of the healthy cover the costs of the unhealthy. But the healthy end up paying unnecessarily high premiums for this privilege, making them the consistent losers of this particular game. In the insurance game, when the lowest risk clients opt-out, the statistics stop working. 


On average, we pay $360 a year in banking fees. The larger banks, meanwhile, average $30 billion a year in overdraft charges alone. But where things go truly sideways is what the banks do with our money.

Banks get to invest our money, typically at a significant profit, wherever they see fit. This often includes projects that don’t align with customers’ values.


But the largest mobile market is a third category entirely, the unbanked, those without any place to store their money. The issue is infrastructure, especially in poorer countries, where the cost of building and maintaining banks simply exceeds the value they can generate. Borrowing money is one of the largest problems faced by the unbanked


With blockchain, since trust is built into the system, the system is no longer necessary. Take a stock trade. Right now, to execute that trade, there’s a buyer, a seller, a series of banks that hold their money, the stock exchange itself, clearinghouses, etc.—roughly, ten different intermediaries. Blockchain removes everyone but the buyer and seller.


Denmark stopped printing money in 2017. Sweden, where over 80 percent of all transactions are digital, is almost there. Economists often point out that two of the main factors that drive economic growth are the availability of money—the stockpiles we can draw upon—and the velocity of money, or the speed and ease with which we can move that money around. Both of these factors are being amplified by exponential technologies.


The value of your home is partially measured in its proximity to a half-dozen locations: a central shopping district, the best schools, your place of work, favorite restaurants, the homes of your closest friends, etc. 


All animals eat plants or eat animals that eat plants, author Richard Manning wrote in an essay for Harpers. This is the food chain, and pulling it is the unique ability of plants to turn sunlight into stored energy in the form of carbohydrates, the basic fuel of all animals. Solar-powered photosynthesis is the only way to make this fuel. There is no alternative to plant energy, just as there is no alternative to oxygen. The food on our plates begins its journey some 93 million miles away, in the solar portion of solar-powered photosynthesis. Even though millions and millions of metric tons of hydrogen are fused every second, less than one-billionth of that energy actually reaches the Earth. And, of the total that does hit the planet’s surface, less than 1 percent is actually used for photosynthesis. The Bill Gates-backed RIPE Project at the University of Illinois has matched and improved those numbers. 


In a few years, humans will become the first animals that get their protein from other animals without any animals being harmed along the way. Slaughterhouses will become a ghost story we tell our grandchildren.


So how do we protect biodiversity and preserve ecosystem services? There is no simple solution, but we want to highlight five developments that are helping turn the tide.


  1. Drone Reforestation: 

  2. Reef Restoration

  3. Aquaculture Reinvention

  4. Agricultural Reinvention

  5. Closed-Loop Economies


Productivity is the main reason companies want to automate workforces. Yet, time and again, the largest increases in productivity don’t come from replacing humans with machines, but rather from augmenting machines with humans. 


Petra Moser, a Stanford economist, and her team turned to an old rumor—that German Jews who fled Nazi Germany had an outsized impact on innovation in the United States. If true, it was an outsized impact produced by an outsized exodus What did she find? That migration is an innovation accelerant on par with nearly every force we’ve so far discussed.


In America, immigrants are twice as likely to start a new business than natives and are responsible for 25 percent of all new jobs. Between 2006 and 2012, 33 percent of venture-backed companies that went public had at least one immigrant founder. Among Fortune 500 companies, 40 percent were founded by immigrants or their children. In 2016, half of all unicorns—those rare startups valued at more than $1 billion—were founded by immigrants, and each provided at least 760 new jobs.


By the numbers, the 12 million Africans uprooted by the slave trade, the 18 million people rerouted by the division of India and Pakistan, and the 20 million rearranged on Europe’s chessboard in the years following World War II were history’s three biggest forced relocations. Each was propelled by a familiar driver: economics (and depersonalization), religion, and politics, respectively. Each reshuffled the world. Yet their combined impact will soon be dwarfed by a new exodus, the first to be triggered solely by technology.


Yet dopamine is merely one of the brain’s major reward chemicals. There’s also norepinephrine, endorphins, serotonin, anandamide, and oxytocin to consider. All are massively pleasurable. Digital media isn’t incredibly effective at producing any beyond dopamine, but the immersive nature of VR makes it able to trigger all six. It’s the full cocktail of feel-good neurochemistry, hard drugs delivered by headset—and only the start of this story.


Stanford emeritus professor of psychiatry Al Cooper, who conducted one of the largest and most detailed studies of cybersex, described the Web as the crack cocaine of sexual compulsivity. According to his research, two hundred thousand Americans are already digital sex addicts. Globally, that number creeps into the millions. 


Added together, our three largest migrations—the slave trade, the bifurcation of India and Pakistan, and the diaspora of post–WWII Europe—produced a combined 44.5 million exiles. Yet 321 million Americans already spend eleven hours a day online, and VR’s neurochemical cocktail will definitely increase that figure. Now toss in serious human motivators like meaning, mastery, money, and sex, and the pull becomes much stronger. It adds up into another great migration, an exodus of consciousness, and one only now just beginning to get underway.




December 7, 2020

Deep Work (Rules for Focused Success in a Distracted World) by Cal Newport

 Deep Work (Rules for Focused Success in a Distracted World) by Cal Newport


Deep Work: Professional activities performed in a state of distraction-free concentration that push your cognitive capabilities to their limit. These efforts create new value, improve your skill, and are hard to replicate.


The Deep Work Hypothesis: The ability to perform deep work is becoming increasingly rare at exactly the same time it is becoming increasingly valuable in our economy. As a consequence, the few who cultivate this skill, and then make it the core of their working life, will thrive.


Two Core Abilities for Thriving in the New Economy

1. The ability to quickly master hard things.

2. The ability to produce at an elite level, in terms of both quality and speed.



“Let your mind become a lens, thanks to the converging rays of attention; let your soul be all intent on whatever it is that is established in your mind as a dominant, wholly absorbing idea.” - Antonin-Dalmace Sertillanges, a Dominican friar and professor of moral philosophy


High-Quality Work Produced = (Time Spent) x (Intensity of Focus)


The Principle of Least Resistance: In a business setting, without clear feedback on the impact of various behaviors to the bottom line, we will tend toward behaviors that are easiest at the moment.


Busyness as Proxy for Productivity: In the absence of clear indicators of what it means to be productive and valuable in their jobs, many knowledge workers turn back toward an industrial indicator of productivity: doing lots of stuff in a visible manner.


"Ironically, jobs are actually easier to enjoy than free time, because like flow activities they have built-in goals, feedback rules, and challenges, all of which encourage one to become involved in one’s work, to concentrate and lose oneself in it. Free time, on the other hand, is unstructured, and requires much greater effort to be shaped into something that can be enjoyed". - Mihaly Csikszentmihalyi.


As Christensen later explained, this division between what and how is crucial but is overlooked in the professional world. It’s often straightforward to identify a strategy needed to achieve a goal, but what trips up companies is figuring out how to execute the strategy once identified.


Rule 1 - Work Deeply

The key to developing a deep work habit is to move beyond good intentions and add routines and rituals to your working life designed to minimize the amount of your limited willpower necessary to transition into and maintain a state of unbroken concentration. With this in mind, the six strategies that follow can be understood as an arsenal of routines and rituals designed with the science of limited willpower in mind to maximize the amount of deep work you consistently accomplish in your schedule


  • Decide on Your Depth Philosophy

  • The Monastic Philosophy of Deep Work Scheduling

  • The Rhythmic Philosophy of Deep Work Scheduling

  • The Journalistic Philosophy of Deep Work Scheduling

  • Ritualize

  • Make Grand Gestures

  • Don’t Work Alone (The hub-and-spoke model & the whiteboard effect)
  • Execute Like a Business

  • Be Lazy

    • Reason #1: Downtime Aids Insights

    • Reason #2: Downtime Helps Recharge the Energy Needed to Work Deeply

    • Reason #3: The Work That Evening Downtime Replaces Is Usually Not That Important

Discipline #1: Focus on the Wildly Important

Discipline #2: Act on the Lead Measures

Discipline #3: Keep a Compelling Scoreboard

Discipline #4: Create a Cadence of Accountability





Rule 2 - Embrace Boredom

Don’t Take Breaks from Distraction. Instead, Take Breaks from Focus.

  • Point #1: This strategy works even if your job requires lots of Internet use and/or prompt e-mail replies.

  • Point #2: Regardless of how you schedule your Internet blocks, you must keep the time outside these blocks absolutely free from Internet use.

  • Point #3: Scheduling Internet use at home as well as at work can further improve your concentration training


To help accelerate this ramp-up process, however, I have two specific suggestions to offer.

  • Suggestion #1: Be Wary of Distractions and Looping

  • Suggestion #2: Structure Your Deep Thinking


Rule 3 - Quit social media


The Any-Benefit Approach to Network Tool Selection: You’re justified in using a network tool if you can identify any possible benefit to its use, or anything you might possibly miss out on if you don’t use it.


The Craftsman Approach to Tool Selection: Identify the core factors that determine success and happiness in your professional and personal life. Adopt a tool only if its positive impacts on these factors substantially outweigh its negative impacts.


Apply the Law of the Vital Few to Your Internet Habits


The Law of the Vital Few*: In many settings, 80 percent of a given effect is due to just 20 percent of the possible causes


Don’t Use the Internet to Entertain Yourself


Rule 4 - Drain the shallows


Quantify the Depth of Every Activity


Shallow Work: Noncognitively demanding, logistical-style tasks, often performed while distracted. These efforts tend not to create much new value in the world and are easy to replicate.


Tip #1: Make People Who Send You E-mail Do More Work

Tip #2: Do More Work When You Send or Reply to E-mails

(E-mail #2: “We should get back to the research problem we discussed during my last visit. Remind me where we are with that?”

E-mail #3: “I took a stab at that article we discussed. It’s attached. Thoughts?”)

Tip #3: Don’t Respond